đ Most Undervalued U.S. Rare Earth Mining Stocks HAL THINKS: Whoâs Sitting on Americaâs Hidden Treasure?
If Part 1 mapped the rare earth motherlode, Part 2 names the players holding the keysâand the marketâs still pricing them like theyâre selling gravel. From Wyoming to Texas, the U.S. is racing to break Chinaâs grip on critical minerals. But Wall Street? Itâs asleep at the wheel.
Here are the American companies sitting on billion-dollar deposits, strategic government backing, and game-changing techâyet trading at valuations more fitting of a lemonade stand.
đď¸ American Rare Earths Limited (ASX: ARR)
đ Billion-tonne deposit, penny-stock price
Share price: $0.245 AUD
Market cap: $124.32 million AUD
Halleck Creek resource: 2.63B metric tons; 8.64M tonnes of TREO
Government support: $7M Wyoming grant + $456M Ex-Im Bank interest
ARR owns what could become the largest rare earth mine in the Western Hemisphereâand the market still treats it like a junior explorer. With magnetic rare earths making up 26% of its resource and first production targeted for 2029, this is a long-term moonshot at basement valuation.
âł Trading just 8.89% above its 52-week low. Investors still havenât caught on.
âď¸ USA Rare Earth (USAR)
đŹ Vertical integration meets military-grade processing
Share price: $11.19
Market cap: $1.06 billion
PE ratio: 84.64
Price target: $16.00 (43% upside)
USAR is no ordinary mining playâitâs building the first full U.S. supply chain for rare earth magnets. From Round Topâs 16-element deposit to a processing lab in Oklahoma, itâs the only company producing 99.1% pure dysprosium oxide on U.S. soil.
Despite analyst consensus as a âStrong Buy,â the market isnât fully pricing in the geopolitical urgency to wean off China. Think of it not as expensiveâbut as early.
đ¤ Texas Mineral Resources (OTC: TMRC)
𧨠Tiny valuation, titan potential
Share price: $0.65
Market cap: $49.12 million
Interest in Round Top: 19.3% of a $1.56B deposit
Fair value: Trading 110% below intrinsic (Peter Lynch model)
TMRC is USA Rare Earthâs quiet partnerâbut its stake in the Round Top deposit makes it ridiculously underpriced. With the business combination valuing USAR at $1.1B, TMRCâs piece of the pie is worth far more than its market cap.
đ Price-to-book ratio of 39.53, yet Wall Street shrugs.
âď¸ Energy Fuels (NYSE: UUUU)
â˘ď¸ Americaâs uranium leader goes magnetic
Market cap: $1.7B
May uranium production: 260,000 lbs (record)
Rare earth angle: Produces 6 of 7 REEs under Chinese export control
Energy Fuels isnât just a uranium story. Its White Mesa Mill is the only operational REE processing site in the U.S., and itâs just getting started. Partnerships with Chemours and POSCO signal ambition far beyond nuclear.
Wall Street still labels it a uranium play. Thatâs the opportunity. Youâre getting the rare earth upside almost for free.
đ§Ş NioCorp Developments (NASDAQ: NB)
đ Scandium, niobium, and magnetic REEs in the Corn Belt
Share price: $2.48
Market cap: $138.16 million
Feasibility NPV (2022): $2.82 billion
IRR: 29.2%, 38-year mine life
Price target: $4.13 (66.5% upside)
The Elk Creek project is a cocktail of rare and critical minerals: scandium, niobium, neodymium-praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium. The projectâs feasibility is sound, but development risk is keeping the stock in limbo. Long-term investors with patience could be handsomely rewarded.
đ Whatâs Fueling the Disconnect?
đ Strategic Premium Ignored
Despite China controlling 70â80% of U.S. REE imports, the market hasnât priced in the national security imperative. These arenât just commoditiesâtheyâre geopolitical chess pieces.
đď¸ Development Phase Discount
Yes, many of these are pre-production. But with government grants, Ex-Im loans, Defense Production Act backing, and bipartisan political support, the risk profile is shifting.
đ ď¸ Infrastructure & CapEx Fears
Some projects (like Commerce Resources) require massive build-outs. But thatâs a barrier to entry, not a weakness. Investors willing to ride the early-stage wave could see asymmetric returns.
đ Sentiment Cycles
The sector is volatile. But thatâs what creates entry points. When fear dominates, value appears.
đĄ HALâs Investment Thesis
If you believe the U.S. is serious about reshoring rare earth production, these stocks are not just undervaluedâtheyâre underpriced by a strategic mile.
âď¸ ARR and TMRC: resource-rich, dirt-cheap
đ USAR and UUUU: vertically integrated, politically aligned
đŹ NB: diversified minerals for a diversified economy
These arenât get-rich-quick gambles. Theyâre get-positioned-early plays.
đ¨ Final Word: Before Wall Street Wakes UpâŚ
While the world worries about gold and lithium bubbles, rare earths are the real bottleneck in defence, energy, and AI hardware. Once these U.S. firms hit productionâor get acquiredâitâll be too late to buy at a discount.
đ Donât wait for CNBC to tell you itâs hot.
đ Coming Soon from HAL:
Part 3 â Whoâs Holding the World Hostage?
Weâll reveal how China, Australia, and Canada are gaming the refining bottleneckâand what that means for the Westâs electric future.
đ Invest accordingly.
đ§ż Think Rare. Think HAL.